Well we are well on our way. Looks like a possible 10 inches of rain may fall by Tuesday. Just got to hope it gets really cold north of us as this thing ends.
Hydrologic Outlook
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
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MSC003-009-013-017-027-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-117-119-
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071-075-077-079-095-097-109-113-131-157-167-183-110000-
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
354 AM CST THU JAN 10 2013
...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY INTO AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING...
DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
TEXAS WILL PULL TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. THE RISK FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A WARM FRONT INTERACTS WITH
THE ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE. THE UPPER LOW WILL EJECT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FROM TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. A
WEAK...SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA FROM
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ALREADY MANY
LOCATIONS HAVE SEEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AN INCH. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES ALONG AND WEST A DYERSBURG
TENNESSEE TO CHARLESTON MISSISSIPPI LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED EAST OF THIS LINE. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA WITH SLOW MOVING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS. THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY...AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED
STATES LEAVING THE MIDSOUTH UNDER STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PIVOT
EASTWARD ON SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL BECOME PARALLEL TO THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND WILL ESSENTIALLY BECOME STATIONARY. A
COUPLE OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ALONG THE
FRONT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
SOME WEATHER MODELS SHOW POTENTIAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM TODAY THROUGH
NEXT TUESDAY FROM 7 TO 9 INCHES.
AS A RESULT...FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE INITIAL
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY NEAR SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AT LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...AND IN AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE. MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL
BE SLOWER TO RISE...BUT TRIBUTARIES OF THESE LARGER RIVERS AND
CREEKS COULD SEE MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING. THIS IS A
PROLONGED EVENT WITH A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
RAINFALL TOTALS. THOSE IN FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND AREAS
AFFECTED BY RIVER FLOODING NEED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THIS
POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD RISK.
FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...FORECAST...AND WARNINGS
PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG
RIVER STAGE AND FORECAST DATA CAN BE OBTAINED BY SELECTING THE
RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS LINK UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION.
